Too Useful Against Iran to Disarm? The PJAK Exception
Since Abdullah Öcalan’s February 2025 call, the PKK has dissolved, Turkey has…
Netanyahu’s Perfect Assist from Abu al-Duhur: How Erdoğan Can Score on Kurdish Peace and National Discontent
The Israeli attack on Syria’s Abu al-Duhur airbase on August 18 initially…
As Israel Becomes a Liability, Turkey Becomes Indispensable: Baniyas Marks the Latest Shift
Israel’s Cold War value rested on its ability to contain Soviet-backed Arab…
The Collapse of the Regime in Iran Could Be Ankara’s Biggest Strategic Gain Since the Collapse of the USSR
The widespread fear in some circles in Ankara—and among many analysts—is that…
Broad Buy-In, Rival Readings, Future Risks: SDF and Damascus Clash Over Integration Terms
A new ceasefire and “phased integration” agreement announced on Friday, January 30,…
İbrahim Kalın: Erdoğan’s Most Geopolitically Credible Successor
Turkey’s impending leadership transition is as much a geopolitical pivot as a…
Jeffrey’s Autonomy Model for Syria Matches NAT’s Earlier Proposal
Former U.S. Special Representative for Syria James Jeffrey has pushed back against…
Strategic and Ideological Missteps of Syria’s SDF
At the height of its power, the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) grew…
The Day After the SDF: Turkey’s Salafism Gamble—and Bilal Erdoğan’s Succession Pipeline
The collapse of the SDF’s de facto autonomy in northeastern Syria is…
Salafi Consolidation: Is Iraq—and the KRG—Next After Syria and Yemen?
The sectarian balance in the Middle East is undergoing a significant shift…