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Geopolist | Istanbul Center for Geopolitics > Blog > Commentary > The Unpredictable Superpower: How U.S. Foreign Policy Volatility Weakens Its Global Influence
CommentaryGeopolitics

The Unpredictable Superpower: How U.S. Foreign Policy Volatility Weakens Its Global Influence

Last updated: October 11, 2024 2:38 am
By GEOPOLIST | Istanbul Center for Geopolitics Published October 11, 2024 1.8k Views 3 Min Read
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Summary and Additional Remarks by Geopolist | Istanbul Center for Geopolitics:

The article criticizes the U.S. foreign policy’s inconsistency, contending that it has grown more untrustworthy and challenging for other nations to understand. The author claims that domestic partisan divisions, not the experience or age of the current leadership, are the root of the problem. Opportunistic leaders like Netanyahu and Putin are encouraged to postpone decisions in the hopes of a more advantageous government by this internal division.

One important argument is that America’s influence across the world is diminished by the frequent policy reversals, as seen by the United States’ obligations to climate agreements. For instance, George W. Bush backed out of the Kyoto Protocol after Bill Clinton signed it. In a similar vein, Biden reversed Trump’s withdrawal from the Paris Agreement, but Trump hinted that he may do it again if elected. The credibility and stability of America have been weakened by this pattern of policy reversals.

The article emphasizes that this volatility affects America’s allies and partners in two ways: it makes it easier for weaker countries to take advantage of policy gaps and it creates confusion. Southeast Asian countries, for example, hedge their bets with China since they are unsure of America’s obligations due to the U.S.’s inconsistent trade and defense policies.

The author argues that party polarization in the United States is the basis of the issue rather than democracy itself. In the past, despite political shifts, there was a commitment to specific international standards and a common vision for the nation’s place in international organizations like NATO. Today’s change challenges America’s established position as a dependable world leader.

In the end, America’s strategic position is weakened by this uncertainty. The United States is no longer viewed by other nations as a reliable ally, but rather as a force that is influenced by election cycles. The repercussions are not economic but geopolitical: America’s leadership claims and influence are under jeopardy, and its foreign policy is now dependent on who answers the phone rather than a cohesive national strategy.

Read the full article here.

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