The Collapse of the Regime in Iran Could Be Ankara’s Biggest Strategic Gain Since the Collapse of the USSR
The widespread fear in some circles in Ankara—and among many analysts—is that…
Broad Buy-In, Rival Readings, Future Risks: SDF and Damascus Clash Over Integration Terms
A new ceasefire and “phased integration” agreement announced on Friday, January 30,…
İbrahim Kalın: Erdoğan’s Most Geopolitically Credible Successor
Turkey’s impending leadership transition is as much a geopolitical pivot as a…
Jeffrey’s Autonomy Model for Syria Matches NAT’s Earlier Proposal
Former U.S. Special Representative for Syria James Jeffrey has pushed back against…
Strategic and Ideological Missteps of Syria’s SDF
At the height of its power, the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) grew…
The Day After the SDF: Turkey’s Salafism Gamble—and Bilal Erdoğan’s Succession Pipeline
The collapse of the SDF’s de facto autonomy in northeastern Syria is…
Salafi Consolidation: Is Iraq—and the KRG—Next After Syria and Yemen?
The sectarian balance in the Middle East is undergoing a significant shift…
Great-Power Condominium or Great-Power Mirage?
Recently, an alluring idea has gained currency, especially after the US operation…
This Week’s Global Fault Lines: Venezuela, Greenland, and the New Coercion (Jan 01–07, 2026)
The first week of 2026 set a clear tone: force first, law…
Erdoğan’s Self-Inflicted Airpower Wounds: How Turkey Lost the Skies
Erdoğan’s response to the staged July 2016 coup attempt devastated the Turkish…